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V-varen Nagasaki logo V-varen Nagasaki
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Cerezo Osaka logo Cerezo Osaka

Match Analysis

V-varen Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki D L W L L W
Cerezo Osaka W L W W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cerezo Osaka V-varen Nagasaki 3 - 2 May 9, 2026
V-varen Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 February 28, 2026
V-varen Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka 0 - 2 August 19, 2018
Cerezo Osaka V-varen Nagasaki 3 - 1 May 5, 2018
Cerezo Osaka V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 September 11, 2016
V-varen Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka 1 - 2 June 8, 2016

V-varen Nagasaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Home Gamba Osaka 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Home FC Tokyo 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Home Ehime FC 3 - 2 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Kashiwa Reysol 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Kyoto Sanga 2 - 1 Win

Cerezo Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Home Kashiwa Reysol 2 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Vissel Kobe 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Home FC Gifu 3 - 1 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Avispa Fukuoka 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Fagiano Okayama 2 - 1 Win

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Cerezo Osaka 4 2 0 2 3 5 -2 6
18 V-varen Nagasaki 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3

Predictions

Cerezo Osaka to win
This prediction indicates that Cerezo Osaka has a 51.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.91 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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