Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC Saturday 17th October 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Canadian Premier League

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Vancouver FC View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 20 hours ago

2 – 1

Full Time

HFX Wanderers FC View team ›

Match Analysis

Vancouver FC HFX Wanderers FC

Vancouver FC D D D D L W

HFX Wanderers FC D D L W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Vancouver FC have struggled in recent matches, while HFX Wanderers FC have been more consistent. Despite HFX Wanderers FC's edge in form and their history of dominance in past meetings between these teams, the model sees a close contest due to the sides' similar overall quality and Vancouver FC's recent rest advantage. The model gives a 46% chance of a home win, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also predicts a high likelihood of both teams scoring and of the match featuring more than one or two goals in total, aligning closely with the market's view on these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
HFX Wanderers FC	Vancouver FC	1 - 0	Canadian Premier League	August 22, 2026
HFX Wanderers FC	Vancouver FC	1 - 0	Canadian Premier League	May 30, 2026
Vancouver FC	HFX Wanderers FC	0 - 1	Canadian Premier League	April 4, 2026
Vancouver FC	HFX Wanderers FC	3 - 1	Canadian Premier League	September 28, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC	Vancouver FC	1 - 2	Canadian Premier League	August 4, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC	Vancouver FC	1 - 0	Canadian Premier League	June 21, 2025

Vancouver FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Supra du Quebec	Canadian Premier League	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	Forge	Canadian Premier League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 24, 26	Home	York United	Canadian Premier League	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 20, 26	Away	Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	York United	Canadian Premier League	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Supra du Quebec	Canadian Premier League	3 - 2	Win

HFX Wanderers FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 12, 26	Home	Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 3, 26	Away	Forge	Canadian Premier League	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Home	York United	Canadian Premier League	4 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Supra du Quebec	Canadian Premier League	0 - 2	Win
Sep 7, 26	Home	Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League	1 - 3	Loss

Canadian Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Vancouver FC	26	9	7	10	37	35	+2	34
6	HFX Wanderers FC	26	7	7	12	40	44	-4	28

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	27	17	6	4	+34	57
2	Forge	27	17	6	4	+27	57
3	Atlético Ottawa	27	13	4	10	-2	43
4	Vancouver FC	27	10	7	10	+3	37
5	Supra du Quebec	27	10	5	12	-4	35
6	HFX Wanderers FC	27	7	7	13	-5	28
7	York United	27	6	9	12	-24	27
8	Pacific FC	27	2	8	17	-29	14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.96% likelihood that both Vancouver FC and HFX Wanderers FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Vancouver FC to win

This prediction indicates that Vancouver FC has a 46.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.29 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Vancouver FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

HFX Wanderers FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Canadian Premier League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Vancouver FC to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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