Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps
Austin
Vancouver Whitecaps
W
W
L
W
D
D
Austin
W
D
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0 - 0 | May 18, 2025 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | 5 - 1 | April 12, 2025 |
| Austin | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0 - 1 | September 1, 2024 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | 0 - 0 | May 5, 2024 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2023 |
| Austin | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0 - 0 | April 16, 2023 |
Vancouver Whitecaps Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Sporting Kansas City | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Los Angeles FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Minnesota United FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Austin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | +27 | 40 |
| 27 | Austin | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Vancouver Whitecaps to win
This prediction indicates that Vancouver Whitecaps has a 72.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.74 %Most Likely Scorelines
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