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Meistriliiga

Aug. 2, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Vaprus FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus L W L W L D
FC Levadia Tallinn W W W L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Levadia Tallinn Vaprus 1 - 6 May 24, 2026
Vaprus FC Levadia Tallinn 2 - 1 April 8, 2026
FC Levadia Tallinn Vaprus 3 - 2 January 24, 2026
Vaprus FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 3 October 26, 2025
FC Levadia Tallinn Vaprus 1 - 3 August 22, 2025
FC Levadia Tallinn Vaprus 2 - 2 May 28, 2025

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away Trans Narva 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Tammeka 5 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Paide 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Home Kuressaare 1 - 0 Win
Jun 16, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Tammeka 0 - 0 Draw

FC Levadia Tallinn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Home Caernarfon Town 5 - 0 Win
Jul 9, 26 Away Caernarfon Town 0 - 5 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Trans Narva 1 - 3 Win
Jun 28, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Away Nõmme United 1 - 2 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 FC Levadia Tallinn 19 11 4 4 42 23 +19 37
5 Vaprus 19 10 2 7 33 29 +4 32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.78% likelihood that both Vaprus and FC Levadia Tallinn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
FC Levadia Tallinn to win
This prediction indicates that FC Levadia Tallinn has a 61.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.39 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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