Liga 3
Match Analysis
Varzim
Paredes
Varzim
W
W
W
W
L
D
Paredes
W
W
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paredes | Varzim | 0 - 0 | December 13, 2025 |
| Varzim | Paredes | 2 - 2 | September 12, 2025 |
| Paredes | Varzim | 1 - 0 | March 12, 2023 |
| Varzim | Paredes | 1 - 0 | December 2, 2022 |
Varzim Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Pacos Ferreira | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | AD Marco 09 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Trofense | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Tirsense | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Tondela | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | União Santarém | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Paredes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Pacos Ferreira | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Guimaraes B | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Lusitânia Lourosa | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | AVS | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Santa Clara | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | AD Marco 09 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Liga 3 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Varzim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Varzim to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Varzim has a 38.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.83 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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