Serie A logo

Serie A
Vasco DA Gama logo Vasco DA Gama
Sept. 20, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
Coritiba logo Coritiba

Match Analysis

Vasco DA Gama Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama W L W L D D
Coritiba W W D W L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Coritiba Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 April 1, 2026
Vasco DA Gama Coritiba 5 - 1 September 21, 2023
Coritiba Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 May 11, 2023
Vasco DA Gama Coritiba 2 - 1 October 16, 2021
Coritiba Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 July 14, 2021
Vasco DA Gama Coritiba 0 - 1 January 17, 2021

Vasco DA Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Win
Aug 23, 26 Away Palmeiras 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Away Olimpia 1 - 4 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Santos 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Home Olimpia 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away Bahia 0 - 0 Draw

Coritiba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Away remo 2 - 3 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Corinthians 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Chapecoense-sc 2 - 1 Win
Jul 31, 26 Home Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away RB Bragantino 0 - 0 Draw

Serie A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Coritiba 25 10 7 8 33 33 0 37
17 Vasco DA Gama 24 6 7 11 27 39 -12 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Vasco DA Gama to win
This prediction indicates that Vasco DA Gama has a 46.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.36 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Serie A

Internacional vs Santos 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG 5 hours ago · 12:30 a.m. › Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama 3 hours ago · 3 a.m. › Coritiba vs Mirassol 10 hours from now · 5 p.m. › remo vs Flamengo 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›