Serie A
Match Analysis
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
W
D
W
D
D
D
Vasco DA Gama
W
L
D
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense | 3 - 2 | March 19, 2026 |
| Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | March 1, 2026 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense | 0 - 1 | February 22, 2026 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense | 2 - 0 | October 20, 2025 |
| Fluminense | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 1 | May 24, 2025 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Fluminense | 1 - 2 | February 6, 2025 |
Fluminense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | remo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Independ. Rivadavia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Palmeiras | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Independ. Rivadavia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Bahia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Vasco DA Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Olimpia | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Santos | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Olimpia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Bahia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Mirassol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 28 | +6 | 38 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 22 |
Predictions
Fluminense to win
This prediction indicates that Fluminense has a 55.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.27 %Most Likely Scorelines
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