Serie A
Match Analysis
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
L
W
D
W
W
L
Atletico Paranaense
D
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro | 2 - 1 | March 18, 2026 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro | 3 - 0 | October 26, 2024 |
| Cruzeiro | Atletico Paranaense | 2 - 0 | June 26, 2024 |
| Cruzeiro | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 1 | November 30, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro | 3 - 3 | July 29, 2023 |
| Atletico Paranaense | Cruzeiro | 0 - 0 | November 7, 2019 |
Cruzeiro Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Flamengo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Corinthians | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Flamengo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Mirassol | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Coritiba | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Botafogo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Atletico Paranaense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | RB Bragantino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Santos | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Internacional | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | RB Bragantino | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | +11 | 41 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 36 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cruzeiro to win
This prediction indicates that Cruzeiro has a 43.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.64 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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