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Emperor Cup

Aug. 26, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Vegalta Sendai Tochigi City
Vegalta Sendai L L D W L W
Tochigi City L L W D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Vegalta Sendai Tochigi City 5 - 0 April 18, 2026
Tochigi City Vegalta Sendai 1 - 4 February 7, 2026

Vegalta Sendai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Fujieda MYFC 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Kashima 5 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Kataller Toyama 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home Yokohama FC 0 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 0 - 2 Win

Tochigi City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Montedio Yamagata 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Biwako Shiga 3 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Jubilo Iwata 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Blaublitz Akita 1 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Montedio Yamagata 3 - 0 Win

Predictions

Vegalta Sendai to win
This prediction indicates that Vegalta Sendai has a 52.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.09 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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