Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima Vortis Saturday 17th October 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

J2 League

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Vegalta Sendai View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 17 hours ago

0 – 0

Full Time

Tokushima Vortis View team ›

Match Analysis

Vegalta Sendai Tokushima Vortis

Vegalta Sendai W W W W D W

Tokushima Vortis L L W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Vegalta Sendai has been in strong recent form and holds a clear quality advantage, while Tokushima Vortis comes in with only moderate recent form. Despite Tokushima Vortis's history of dominating past meetings, those games tended to be low-scoring, aligning with the model's view that goals may be scarce. The model predicts a home win with a 57% probability and also leans toward an outcome with fewer than two goals total. The prediction agrees with the general sense that Vegalta Sendai is the stronger side here, though the market odds are not available for direct comparison.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Vegalta Sendai	Tokushima Vortis	0 - 2	J2 League	August 10, 2025
Tokushima Vortis	Vegalta Sendai	1 - 0	J2 League	February 23, 2025
Tokushima Vortis	Vegalta Sendai	2 - 0	J2 League	July 14, 2024
Tokushima Vortis	Vegalta Sendai	1 - 0	Emperor Cup	June 12, 2024
Vegalta Sendai	Tokushima Vortis	0 - 0	J2 League	March 24, 2024
Vegalta Sendai	Tokushima Vortis	1 - 1	J2 League	June 25, 2023

Vegalta Sendai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Away	Montedio Yamagata	J2 League	0 - 1	Win
Oct 4, 26	Home	Jubilo Iwata	J2 League	2 - 1	Win
Sep 26, 26	Away	Iwaki	J2 League	0 - 2	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	Tochigi City	J2 League	1 - 3	Win
Sep 13, 26	Home	Consadole Sapporo	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Shonan Bellmare	J2 League	1 - 3	Win

Tokushima Vortis Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Imabari	J2 League	1 - 2	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	Albirex Niigata	J2 League	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Tochigi City	J2 League	3 - 0	Win
Sep 23, 26	Away	Gamba Osaka	Emperor Cup	5 - 0	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Ventforet Kofu	J2 League	0 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Blaublitz Akita	J2 League	4 - 1	Loss

J2 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	30	19	8	3	52	24	+28	65
7	Tokushima Vortis	30	15	4	11	51	35	+16	49

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	31	19	9	3	+28	66
2	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	31	19	7	5	+24	64
3	Kataller Toyama	31	16	10	5	+23	58
4	Albirex Niigata	31	15	9	7	0	54
5	Omiya Ardija	31	15	7	9	+20	52
6	Yokohama FC	31	15	6	10	+15	51
7	Tokushima Vortis	31	15	5	11	+16	50
8	Blaublitz Akita	31	14	7	10	+7	49
9	Shonan Bellmare	31	12	11	8	+7	47
10	Sagan Tosu	31	13	8	10	+7	47
11	Fujieda MYFC	31	10	15	6	+7	45
12	Ventforet Kofu	30	13	4	13	-3	43
13	Oita Trinita	31	11	9	11	+8	42
14	Consadole Sapporo	31	12	6	13	-2	42
15	Iwaki	30	11	7	12	-2	40
16	Jubilo Iwata	31	9	10	12	-8	37
17	Montedio Yamagata	31	10	4	17	-4	34
18	Tochigi City	31	9	7	15	-12	34
19	Kagoshima United	20	9	6	5	+10	33
20	FC Gifu	20	9	4	7	-1	31
21	Imabari	31	8	7	16	-13	31
22	Sagamihara	20	8	6	6	+1	30
23	Vanraure Hachinohe	31	7	9	15	-16	30
24	Kochi United	20	8	5	7	+1	29
25	Roasso Kumamoto	20	9	2	9	-2	29
26	Ehime FC	20	8	3	9	+5	27
27	Renofa Yamaguchi	20	7	6	7	+1	27
28	Gainare Tottori	20	7	6	7	-2	27
29	Matsumoto Yamaga	20	6	7	7	+8	25
30	Kanazawa	20	6	7	7	-5	25
31	Nara Club	20	6	5	9	-7	23
32	Thespakusatsu Gunma	20	6	4	10	-14	22
33	Kamatamare Sanuki	20	6	4	10	-16	22
34	Biwako Shiga	20	6	3	11	-15	21
35	Fukushima United	20	5	5	10	-12	20
36	Osaka	20	3	10	7	-3	19
37	Tochigi SC	20	4	7	9	-5	19
38	FC Ryukyu	20	3	8	9	-11	17
39	Kitakyushu	20	4	4	12	-17	16
40	Parceiro Nagano	20	3	7	10	-18	16

Predictions

Vegalta Sendai to win

This prediction indicates that Vegalta Sendai has a 56.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.59 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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