Ventforet Kofu vs Tochigi City Saturday 10th October 2026 10:00 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 10, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ventforet Kofu Tochigi City
Ventforet Kofu L L L L L W
Tochigi City L L L L D W
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Tochigi City with a 45% probability. The model sees Tochigi City as having a modest quality edge, though both teams are in poor recent form and have similar rest before the match. The market odds imply less confidence in an away win than the model does. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, seeing these outcomes as somewhat more likely than the market odds suggest.

Ventforet Kofu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Kataller Toyama J2 League 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 26, 26 Away Omiya Ardija J2 League 5 - 1 Loss
Sep 23, 26 Away Kashima Emperor Cup 3 - 1 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Home Tokushima Vortis J2 League 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Home Jubilo Iwata J2 League 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Montedio Yamagata J2 League 1 - 2 Win

Tochigi City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Imabari J2 League 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 26, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis J2 League 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 23, 26 Away Machida Zelvia Emperor Cup 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 20, 26 Home Vegalta Sendai J2 League 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Kataller Toyama J2 League 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 6, 26 Away Consadole Sapporo J2 League 1 - 4 Win

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Ventforet Kofu 29 12 4 13 29 33 -4 40
19 Tochigi City 29 9 6 14 40 51 -11 33
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 31 19 9 3 +28 66
2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 31 19 7 5 +24 64
3 Kataller Toyama 31 16 10 5 +23 58
4 Albirex Niigata 31 15 9 7 0 54
5 Omiya Ardija 31 15 7 9 +20 52
6 Yokohama FC 31 15 6 10 +15 51
7 Tokushima Vortis 31 15 5 11 +16 50
8 Blaublitz Akita 31 14 7 10 +7 49
9 Shonan Bellmare 31 12 11 8 +7 47
10 Sagan Tosu 31 13 8 10 +7 47
11 Fujieda MYFC 31 10 15 6 +7 45
12 Ventforet Kofu 30 13 4 13 -3 43
13 Oita Trinita 31 11 9 11 +8 42
14 Consadole Sapporo 31 12 6 13 -2 42
15 Iwaki 30 11 7 12 -2 40
16 Jubilo Iwata 31 9 10 12 -8 37
17 Montedio Yamagata 31 10 4 17 -4 34
18 Tochigi City 31 9 7 15 -12 34
19 Kagoshima United 20 9 6 5 +10 33
20 FC Gifu 20 9 4 7 -1 31
21 Imabari 31 8 7 16 -13 31
22 Sagamihara 20 8 6 6 +1 30
23 Vanraure Hachinohe 31 7 9 15 -16 30
24 Kochi United 20 8 5 7 +1 29
25 Roasso Kumamoto 20 9 2 9 -2 29
26 Ehime FC 20 8 3 9 +5 27
27 Renofa Yamaguchi 20 7 6 7 +1 27
28 Gainare Tottori 20 7 6 7 -2 27
29 Matsumoto Yamaga 20 6 7 7 +8 25
30 Kanazawa 20 6 7 7 -5 25
31 Nara Club 20 6 5 9 -7 23
32 Thespakusatsu Gunma 20 6 4 10 -14 22
33 Kamatamare Sanuki 20 6 4 10 -16 22
34 Biwako Shiga 20 6 3 11 -15 21
35 Fukushima United 20 5 5 10 -12 20
36 Osaka 20 3 10 7 -3 19
37 Tochigi SC 20 4 7 9 -5 19
38 FC Ryukyu 20 3 8 9 -11 17
39 Kitakyushu 20 4 4 12 -17 16
40 Parceiro Nagano 20 3 7 10 -18 16

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.94% likelihood that both Ventforet Kofu and Tochigi City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tochigi City to win
This prediction indicates that Tochigi City has a 45.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.39 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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