Vianense vs Leixoes Sunday 18th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

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Vianense View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 9 hours ago

1 – 0

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Leixoes View team ›

Match Analysis

Vianense Leixoes

Vianense D W W D W L

Leixoes L W D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Vianense with a 42% probability. Despite Leixões having a modest quality edge, Vianense's strong attacking form and both teams' strong recent performances suggest an open, competitive match. The market odds imply a stronger favorite status for Leixões than the model does, as the odds heavily favor Leixões, while the model sees a closer contest. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with the market's view on these aspects.

Vianense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Paredes	Liga 3	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 20, 26	Away	Estrela Calheta	Taça de Portugal	1 - 3	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Varzim	Liga 3	1 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Pacos Ferreira	Liga 3	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 30, 26	Home	Minas de Argozelo	Taça de Portugal	8 - 0	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	AD Marco 09	Liga 3	2 - 0	Loss

Leixoes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	FC Porto B	Segunda Liga	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Away	Cinfães	Taça de Portugal	0 - 4	Win
Sep 11, 26	Away	Torreense	Segunda Liga	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Amarante	Segunda Liga	3 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Portimonense	Segunda Liga	0 - 2	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	União de Leiria	Segunda Liga	2 - 4	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.88% likelihood that both Vianense and Leixoes will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Vianense or Leixoes to win

This prediction indicates that Vianense has a 42.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.01 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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