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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Vianense Minas de Argozelo
Vianense W D L W L L
Minas de Argozelo L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Vianense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Trofense 2 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Fafe 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 29, 26 Away AVS 3 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Rebordosa 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Bragança 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Leça 3 - 4 Loss

Minas de Argozelo Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 24, 17 Home Cova De Piedade 0 - 4 Loss
Sep 3, 17 Away Atlético Arcos 3 - 5 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.68% likelihood that both Vianense and Minas de Argozelo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Vianense to win
This prediction indicates that Vianense has a 53.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.36 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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