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Primera B Metropolitana

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Villa San Carlos Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos W W D W L L
Brown DE Adrogue L W D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Brown DE Adrogue Villa San Carlos 2 - 1 April 25, 2026
Brown DE Adrogue Villa San Carlos 1 - 0 August 9, 2025
Villa San Carlos Brown DE Adrogue 2 - 1 March 23, 2025
Brown DE Adrogue Villa San Carlos 1 - 0 October 17, 2015
Villa San Carlos Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 0 June 8, 2015
Brown DE Adrogue Villa San Carlos 2 - 1 April 12, 2014

Villa San Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Home Defensores Unidos 1 - 0 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Comunicaciones 0 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Dock Sud 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Deportivo Merlo 1 - 2 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Deportivo Camioneros 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away Sportivo Italiano 1 - 0 Loss

Brown DE Adrogue Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Villa Dalmine 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Excursionistas 1 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Arsenal Sarandi 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Argentino de Merlo 1 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Talleres Remedios 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Deportivo Laferrere 0 - 1 Loss

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Villa San Carlos 30 7 11 12 29 35 -6 32
18 Brown DE Adrogue 30 7 10 13 19 31 -12 31

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Villa San Carlos to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Villa San Carlos has a 39.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.49 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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