Villarreal II vs Teruel Saturday 17th October 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

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Villarreal II View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 5 hours ago

2 – 0

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Teruel View team ›

Match Analysis

Villarreal II Teruel

Villarreal II D L W D W W

Teruel W L D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Villarreal II has had moderate recent form, while Teruel has struggled, particularly defensively. The model also sees a clear quality gap favoring the home side. Given these factors, the model predicts a home win with a 68% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward an 'over' for both the 1.5 and 2.5 goal lines, and a higher chance that neither side will score, but these predictions align more closely with the market view compared to the strong home win probability.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Teruel	Villarreal II	1 - 0	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	March 8, 2026
Villarreal II	Teruel	1 - 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	December 7, 2025

Villarreal II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Real Jaén	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	3 - 3	Draw
Oct 4, 26	Home	Ibiza	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 25, 26	Away	Atlético Madrid II	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	1 - 3	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Antequera	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Huesca	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	0 - 3	Win
Sep 4, 26	Home	Algeciras	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	2 - 1	Win

Teruel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Alcorcon	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	1 - 0	Win
Oct 4, 26	Away	Zaragoza	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 27, 26	Home	Huesca	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Away	Rayo Majadahonda	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Real Jaén	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	Real Murcia	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	4 - 0	Loss

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Villarreal II	7	4	2	1	15	9	+6	14
18	Teruel	7	1	2	4	3	12	-9	5

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal II	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Zaragoza	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	FC Cartagena	8	4	3	1	+8	15
4	Real Murcia	7	5	0	2	+4	15
5	Alcorcon	8	3	4	1	+8	13
6	Ibiza	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Hércules	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Real Jaén	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Huesca	8	2	5	1	0	11
10	Antequera	7	2	4	1	+2	10
11	Algeciras	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Atlético Madrid II	7	2	3	2	+3	9
13	Real Madrid II	7	2	3	2	+1	9
14	Sant Andreu	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Gimnastic	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Europa Fc	8	2	1	5	-8	7
17	Águilas	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Teruel	8	1	2	5	-11	5
19	Rayo Majadahonda	7	1	1	5	-3	4
20	Juventud Torremolinos	7	0	2	5	-10	2

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Villarreal II to win

This prediction indicates that Villarreal II has a 67.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.73 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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