Liga 3
Match Analysis
Vitória de Sernache
CF Os Belenenses
Vitória de Sernache
D
L
D
D
W
D
CF Os Belenenses
W
W
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Vitória de Sernache Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | SC Covilha | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Mafra | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 10, 26 | Away | Leça | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Louletano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Atlético Malveira | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Oliveira Hospital | 0 - 0 | Draw |
CF Os Belenenses Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | União Santarém | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Louletano | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Caldas | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Estoril | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Benfica | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Alverca | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Liga 3 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 18 | Vitória de Sernache | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.CF Os Belenenses to win
This prediction indicates that CF Os Belenenses has a 50.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.28 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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