Vitesse vs AEK Athens FC Wednesday 15th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Vitesse AEK Athens FC

Vitesse D L D W W D

AEK Athens FC D D W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vitesse	AEK Athens FC	1 - 3	June 30, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Home	Roda	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Away	Cambuur	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	MVV	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 13, 26	Away	Jong Utrecht	0 - 3	Win
Apr 6, 26	Home	Jong Ajax	6 - 1	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Emmen	3 - 3	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Olympiakos Piraeus	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	PAOK	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Panathinaikos	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Panathinaikos	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Home	PAOK	3 - 0	Win
Apr 16, 26	Home	Rayo Vallecano	3 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that AEK Athens FC has a 68.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.42 %

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