Vitesse vs Al-Jazira Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Vitesse Al-Jazira

Vitesse D L D W W D

Al-Jazira L L L L W L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Home	Roda	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Away	Cambuur	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	MVV	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 13, 26	Away	Jong Utrecht	0 - 3	Win
Apr 6, 26	Home	Jong Ajax	6 - 1	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Emmen	3 - 3	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 25	Away	Almeria	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 24	Away	Malaga	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 24	Away	Cadiz	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 23	Away	Buchbach	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 22	Away	Jong PSV	1 - 2	Win
Feb 9, 22	Away	Monterrey	3 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vitesse has a 47.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.81 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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