Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama Friday 17th July 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Vitoria Vasco DA Gama

Vitoria W W L W W W

Vasco DA Gama L W L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vasco DA Gama	Vitoria	4 - 3	October 5, 2025
Vitoria	Vasco DA Gama	2 - 1	May 10, 2025
Vitoria	Vasco DA Gama	0 - 1	September 1, 2024
Vasco DA Gama	Vitoria	2 - 1	May 12, 2024
Vasco DA Gama	Vitoria	0 - 3	November 11, 2021
Vitoria	Vasco DA Gama	0 - 1	August 7, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	2 - 1	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Santos	3 - 1	Loss
May 28, 26	Away	ABC	3 - 4	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Internacional	2 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Home	ABC	6 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	0 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Barracas Central	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	0 - 3	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Olimpia	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Internacional	4 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Vitoria	17	6	4	7	21	25	-4	22
17	Vasco DA Gama	17	5	5	7	22	28	-6	20

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

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