Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
L
L
W
W
D
W
Inter Turku
W
L
D
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Inter Turku has dominated their meetings with VPS, often coming out on top. Despite VPS having a rest advantage, the model predicts an away win with a 41% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. The model also anticipates that both teams are likely to score (56% probability) and that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match (50% probability), aligning with the view that Inter Turku's strong attacking form will play a key role.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | VPS | 0 - 0 | April 4, 2026 |
| Inter Turku | VPS | 2 - 1 | August 31, 2025 |
| VPS | Inter Turku | 0 - 2 | April 19, 2025 |
| Inter Turku | VPS | 3 - 1 | June 28, 2024 |
| VPS | Inter Turku | 3 - 1 | May 27, 2024 |
| VPS | Inter Turku | 1 - 1 | September 29, 2023 |
VPS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | KuPS | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | HJK helsinki | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | SJK | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Mariehamn | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Gnistan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 23, 26 | Home | AC Oulu | 5 - 1 | Win |
Inter Turku Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Istanbul Basaksehir | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Gnistan | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Istanbul Basaksehir | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | FF Jaro | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | FK Sarajevo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | FK Sarajevo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Turku | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 5 | VPS | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.59% likelihood that both VPS and Inter Turku will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
VPS or Inter Turku to win
This prediction indicates that Inter Turku has a 40.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.55 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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