Canadian Premier League
Match Analysis
York United
Vancouver FC
York United
L
D
W
D
L
L
Vancouver FC
L
L
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver FC | York United | 4 - 0 | July 4, 2026 |
| York United | Vancouver FC | 1 - 0 | April 19, 2026 |
| Vancouver FC | York United | 2 - 1 | September 21, 2025 |
| York United | Vancouver FC | 4 - 0 | July 19, 2025 |
| York United | Vancouver FC | 1 - 0 | May 25, 2025 |
| Vancouver FC | York United | 0 - 2 | April 6, 2025 |
York United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Atlético Ottawa | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Supra du Quebec | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | HFX Wanderers FC | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Pacific FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Cavalry FC | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Forge | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Vancouver FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | HFX Wanderers FC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Atlético Ottawa | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Pacific FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Forge | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Atlético Ottawa | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cavalry FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
Canadian Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 22 | +4 | 27 |
| 7 | York United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 18 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.19% likelihood that both York United and Vancouver FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.York United or Vancouver FC to win
This prediction indicates that York United has a 41.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.91 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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