Aarhus vs Sonderjyske Monday 12th October 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Superliga

View league ›

Aarhus View team ›

Oct. 12, 2026 3 days, 7 hours ago

3 – 0

Full Time

Sonderjyske View team ›

Match Analysis

Aarhus Sonderjyske

Aarhus W D W L D L

Sonderjyske W L D L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Aarhus is seen as the stronger side in this matchup, with a clear quality gap in their favor. Despite both teams showing moderate recent form and a recent history of high-scoring games between them, the model predicts a home win with a 61% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward an 'over' for both the 1.5 and 2.5 goals lines and for both teams to score, seeing these as more likely outcomes than the market implies.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aarhus	Sonderjyske	2 - 1	May 3, 2026
Sonderjyske	Aarhus	1 - 1	March 15, 2026
Aarhus	Sonderjyske	2 - 3	November 9, 2025
Aarhus	Sonderjyske	2 - 1	October 29, 2025
Sonderjyske	Aarhus	1 - 1	July 20, 2025
Sonderjyske	Aarhus	1 - 4	February 16, 2025

Aarhus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Home	Vendsyssel FF	2 - 1	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	AC Horsens	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 16, 26	Away	Skjold Sæby	1 - 6	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	FC Nordsjaelland	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Silkeborg	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 2, 26	Home	FC Midtjylland	0 - 2	Loss

Sonderjyske Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Randers FC	4 - 2	Win
Sep 16, 26	Away	AB Copenhagen	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Lyngby	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	AC Horsens	2 - 5	Loss
Sep 3, 26	Away	Thisted FC	0 - 2	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	FC Copenhagen	3 - 1	Loss

Superliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11	17	-6	5
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	12	21	-9	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.3% likelihood that both Aarhus and Sonderjyske will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Aarhus to win

This prediction indicates that Aarhus has a 60.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.37 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Top Picks

Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Superliga

AC Horsens vs Randers FC 16 hours from now · 8 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Aarhus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Sonderjyske Form (Last 6 Matches)

Superliga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Aarhus to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

Superliga

Latest transfers

From the blog