Accrington ST vs Cheltenham Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Accrington ST

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Cheltenham

Match Analysis

Accrington ST Cheltenham

Accrington ST L W D L L D

Cheltenham W D W D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Accrington ST	Cheltenham	3 - 1	January 31, 2026
Cheltenham	Accrington ST	1 - 0	September 6, 2025
Accrington ST	Cheltenham	0 - 0	January 28, 2025
Cheltenham	Accrington ST	2 - 1	October 1, 2024
Cheltenham	Accrington ST	0 - 0	February 11, 2023
Accrington ST	Cheltenham	1 - 0	September 17, 2022

Accrington ST Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Barnet	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Crawley Town	3 - 2	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Grimsby	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Walsall	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Exeter City	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Colchester	2 - 2	Draw

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Crawley Town	1 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Grimsby	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Home	York	3 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Barnet	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Swindon Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Rotherham	2 - 1	Win

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Cheltenham	5	2	2	1	10	9	+1	8
19	Accrington ST	5	1	2	2	9	11	-2	5

Predictions

Accrington ST to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Accrington ST has a 39.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.92 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Accrington ST Form (Last 6 Matches)

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Accrington ST to win or Draw

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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