Colchester vs Cheltenham Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Colchester

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Cheltenham

Match Analysis

Colchester Cheltenham

Colchester L W W D L L

Cheltenham W D L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cheltenham	Colchester	1 - 4	May 2, 2026
Colchester	Cheltenham	2 - 0	November 29, 2025
Cheltenham	Colchester	0 - 1	March 8, 2025
Cheltenham	Colchester	2 - 1	January 14, 2025
Colchester	Cheltenham	1 - 2	October 19, 2024
Cheltenham	Colchester	1 - 0	April 24, 2021

Colchester Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Rochdale	1 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Oldham	2 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Accrington ST	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Southampton	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Stevenage	1 - 0	Loss

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Home	York	3 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Barnet	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Swindon Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Rotherham	2 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Charlton	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Milton Keynes Dons	0 - 2	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Colchester	3	2	1	0	5	3	+2	7
12	Cheltenham	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Colchester to win

This prediction indicates that Colchester has a 58.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.58 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Colchester Form (Last 6 Matches)

Cheltenham Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Colchester to win

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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