Chesterfield vs York Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Chesterfield

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

York

Match Analysis

Chesterfield York

Chesterfield D L W L L D

York L W D W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
York	Chesterfield	2 - 1	March 29, 2024
Chesterfield	York	4 - 0	October 24, 2023
Chesterfield	York	1 - 3	April 7, 2023
York	Chesterfield	1 - 1	October 25, 2022
York	Chesterfield	0 - 2	January 28, 2014
Chesterfield	York	2 - 2	October 22, 2013

Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Home	Gillingham	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Rotherham	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Salford City	0 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Fleetwood Town	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Scunthorpe	1 - 1	Draw

York Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Away	Cheltenham	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Exeter City	2 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Rotherham	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Bristol Rovers	3 - 2	Win
Aug 3, 26	Home	Crawley Town	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Home	Peterborough	1 - 2	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	York	3	2	1	0	6	4	+2	7
16	Chesterfield	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.02% likelihood that both Chesterfield and York will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

York to win

This prediction indicates that York has a 48.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.34 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Chesterfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

York Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

York to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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