Accrington ST vs Newport County Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Accrington ST

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Newport County

Match Analysis

Accrington ST Newport County

Accrington ST D L L D L D

Newport County L D L W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Newport County	Accrington ST	1 - 4	January 27, 2026
Accrington ST	Newport County	0 - 1	October 11, 2025
Accrington ST	Newport County	5 - 0	March 11, 2025
Newport County	Accrington ST	3 - 1	August 24, 2024
Newport County	Accrington ST	1 - 3	April 9, 2024
Accrington ST	Newport County	3 - 0	August 5, 2023

Accrington ST Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Home	Grimsby	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Walsall	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Exeter City	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Colchester	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Crewe	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Sheffield Wednesday	0 - 0	Draw

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Away	Salford City	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Tranmere	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	5 - 3	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Rochdale	3 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 4, 26	Home	AS Roma	1 - 4	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Newport County	3	1	1	1	8	7	+1	4
22	Accrington ST	3	0	1	2	4	7	-3	1

Predictions

Accrington ST to win

This prediction indicates that Accrington ST has a 42.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.30 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Accrington ST Form (Last 6 Matches)

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Accrington ST to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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