AEK Athens FC vs St. Truiden Sunday 02nd August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

AEK Athens FC St. Truiden

AEK Athens FC W D W D D W

St. Truiden W W W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

AEK Athens FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Groningen	1 - 2	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	Vitesse	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Away	De Graafschap	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Olympiakos Piraeus	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	PAOK	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Panathinaikos	2 - 1	Win

St. Truiden Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	FC Luzern	1 - 2	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	Patro Eisden	0 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Zepperen-Brustem	0 - 6	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	Thes Sport	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	KV Mechelen	3 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Anderlecht	3 - 1	Loss

Predictions

AEK Athens FC to win

This prediction indicates that AEK Athens FC has a 52.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.87 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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