Erzgebirge AUE vs FC Schalke 04 Sunday 19th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Erzgebirge AUE FC Schalke 04

Erzgebirge AUE W W W D W D

FC Schalke 04 W L W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Erzgebirge AUE	FC Schalke 04	0 - 5	January 22, 2022
FC Schalke 04	Erzgebirge AUE	1 - 1	August 13, 2021

Erzgebirge AUE Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	ZFC Meuselwitz	0 - 3	Win
Jul 1, 26	Home	Vysočina Jihlava	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	FC Schweinfurt 05	2 - 4	Win
May 8, 26	Home	MSV Duisburg	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	FC Ingolstadt 04	3 - 5	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	SV Wehen	2 - 2	Draw

FC Schalke 04 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Eintracht Braunschweig	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	FC Nurnberg	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	SC Paderborn 07	2 - 3	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Preußen Münster	4 - 1	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	SV Elversberg	1 - 2	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
670	Erzgebirge AUE	3	2	0	1	7	3	+4	6
1250	FC Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.07% likelihood that both Erzgebirge AUE and FC Schalke 04 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Schalke 04 to win

This prediction indicates that FC Schalke 04 has a 41.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.88 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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