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League One
Alloa Athletic logo Alloa Athletic
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Peterhead logo Peterhead

Match Analysis

Alloa Athletic Peterhead
Alloa Athletic W L D L D D
Peterhead W W L D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Alloa Athletic Peterhead 1 - 2 March 28, 2026
Peterhead Alloa Athletic 3 - 1 March 10, 2026
Alloa Athletic Peterhead 4 - 0 December 6, 2025
Peterhead Alloa Athletic 2 - 1 September 27, 2025
Peterhead Alloa Athletic 0 - 2 March 25, 2023
Alloa Athletic Peterhead 1 - 0 February 4, 2023

Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Home Stranraer 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Hamilton Academical 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home East Fife 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Ayr Utd 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Falkirk 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Stranraer 2 - 2 Draw

Peterhead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Away Banks O' Dee 1 - 5 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Queen of the South 0 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Ross County 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Away Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away Elgin City 1 - 3 Win

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Alloa Athletic 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
8 Peterhead 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Predictions

Alloa Athletic or Peterhead to win
This prediction indicates that Alloa Athletic has a 38.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.09 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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