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Victoria NPL

Aug. 1, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Altona Magic Sunshine Georgies
Altona Magic W L W L W L
Sunshine Georgies D D L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sunshine Georgies Altona Magic 1 - 1 April 25, 2026

Altona Magic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Green Gully 1 - 3 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Melbourne City II 0 - 3 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 0 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away South Melbourne 2 - 3 Win
May 30, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 2 Loss

Sunshine Georgies Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Home Preston Lions 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Dandenong City 3 - 2 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Dandenong Thunder 2 - 3 Win
May 30, 26 Home Green Gully 0 - 0 Draw

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Sunshine Georgies 20 6 9 5 27 28 -1 27
11 Altona Magic 20 6 4 10 24 36 -12 22

Predictions

Sunshine Georgies to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sunshine Georgies has a 36.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.80 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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