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Victoria NPL

July 18, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Avondale St. Albans Saints
Avondale L W W W W L
St. Albans Saints D L W D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
St. Albans Saints Avondale 2 - 3 April 10, 2026
Avondale St. Albans Saints 2 - 2 June 14, 2025
St. Albans Saints Avondale 1 - 4 March 8, 2025
Avondale St. Albans Saints 2 - 1 May 25, 2024
St. Albans Saints Avondale 1 - 2 February 18, 2024
St. Albans Saints Avondale 1 - 2 July 23, 2023

Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away Dandenong City 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 11 - 0 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away Green Gully 0 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 4 - 0 Win
May 25, 26 Away South Melbourne 0 - 4 Win
May 16, 26 Away Hume City 3 - 0 Loss

St. Albans Saints Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 3, 26 Away Heidelberg United 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 26, 26 Home Melbourne City II 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Altona Magic 2 - 1 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away Oakleigh Cannons 2 - 2 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Preston Lions 0 - 1 Loss
May 22, 26 Away Dandenong City 2 - 1 Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Avondale 18 11 1 6 51 22 +29 34
10 St. Albans Saints 18 6 3 9 20 33 -13 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.27% likelihood that both Avondale and St. Albans Saints will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Avondale to win
This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 72.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.73 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 79.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 75.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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