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Victoria NPL logo

Victoria NPL

July 18, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Altona Magic Heidelberg United
Altona Magic W L W L L W
Heidelberg United D L L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Heidelberg United Altona Magic 2 - 2 April 11, 2026
Altona Magic Heidelberg United 0 - 2 July 5, 2025
Heidelberg United Altona Magic 3 - 1 March 28, 2025
Heidelberg United Altona Magic 1 - 1 May 19, 2024
Altona Magic Heidelberg United 0 - 1 February 10, 2024
Altona Magic Heidelberg United 3 - 2 July 8, 2023

Altona Magic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 0 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away South Melbourne 2 - 3 Win
May 30, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Hume City 1 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Preston Lions 1 - 0 Win

Heidelberg United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 3, 26 Home St. Albans Saints 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 26, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Preston Lions 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Away Dandenong City 4 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 4 - 2 Win
May 22, 26 Away Green Gully 0 - 1 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Heidelberg United 18 9 3 6 30 23 +7 30
12 Altona Magic 18 5 4 9 21 32 -11 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.89% likelihood that both Altona Magic and Heidelberg United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Heidelberg United to win
This prediction indicates that Heidelberg United has a 54.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.62 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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