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Primeira Liga

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Alverca Santa Clara
Alverca L W W W W W
Santa Clara D W D W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Alverca Santa Clara 1 - 1 February 21, 2026
Santa Clara Alverca 2 - 1 September 20, 2025

Alverca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away FC Porto 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Sporting CP B 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Mafra 1 - 0 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Estoril 2 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home CF Os Belenenses 2 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away União de Leiria 0 - 1 Win

Santa Clara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 10, 26 Home Nacional 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Arouca 3 - 0 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Felgueiras 1932 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Moreirense 2 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Paredes 2 - 0 Win
Jul 15, 26 Home Leça 4 - 0 Win

Primeira Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Santa Clara 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
18 Alverca 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Santa Clara to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Santa Clara has a 36.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.14 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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