Ammanford AFC vs Caernarfon Town Friday 11th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Premier League

Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ammanford AFC Caernarfon Town

Ammanford AFC L L D L L L

Caernarfon Town W W L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Home	GAP Connah S Quay FC	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Away	Airbus UK	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Home	Colwyn Bay	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 31, 26	Away	Briton Ferry	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 24	Home	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 13, 21	Home	Haverfordwest County AFC	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 21, 26	Away	Trefelin	0 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Colwyn Bay	3 - 0	Win
Aug 7, 26	Home	Penybont	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	GAP Connah S Quay FC	1 - 2	Win
Jul 16, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	0 - 5	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Caernarfon Town	4	3	0	1	8	3	+5	9
12	Ammanford AFC	3	0	1	2	3	6	-3	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Caernarfon Town has a 54.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.88 %

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