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Primeira Liga
Arouca logo Arouca
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Maritimo logo Maritimo

Match Analysis

Arouca Maritimo
Arouca W W L D D L
Maritimo W D D W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Arouca Maritimo 1 - 0 April 8, 2023
Maritimo Arouca 1 - 1 October 23, 2022
Arouca Maritimo 0 - 3 February 14, 2022
Maritimo Arouca 2 - 2 September 13, 2021
Maritimo Arouca 3 - 1 March 19, 2017
Arouca Maritimo 1 - 0 October 30, 2016

Arouca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Guimaraes 0 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Lusitânia Lourosa 0 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Santa Clara 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away Famalicao 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Feirense 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Rio Ave 2 - 1 Loss

Maritimo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Casa Pia 1 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Home Estrela 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Machico 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Camacha 2 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Leixoes 1 - 5 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home AVS 2 - 0 Win

Primeira Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Maritimo 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
2 Arouca 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Arouca to win
This prediction indicates that Arouca has a 56.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.17 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Alverca vs Estrela 12 hours from now · 5:30 p.m. › Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara 15 hours from now · 8 p.m. › Rio Ave vs FC Porto 17 hours from now · 10:30 p.m. ›