Segunda División
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Match Analysis
Atenas
Miramar
Atenas
W
D
W
D
W
L
Miramar
W
L
W
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, games between Atenas and Miramar have often ended in draws, and goals have been scarce in these encounters. The model predicts Atenas to win with a 44% probability, suggesting a modest confidence in the home side despite their past tight contests. Atenas' stronger recent form and slight quality edge support this prediction, but the market odds imply a closer contest, showing less confidence in a home win. The model also leans toward fewer goals, aligning somewhat with past trends between these two teams.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miramar | Atenas | 1 - 1 | Segunda División | July 6, 2026 |
| Miramar | Atenas | 0 - 1 | Segunda División | November 21, 2023 |
| Atenas | Miramar | 0 - 0 | Segunda División | July 8, 2023 |
| Atenas | Miramar | 0 - 1 | Segunda División | August 5, 2022 |
| Miramar | Atenas | 1 - 2 | Segunda División | May 15, 2022 |
| Miramar | Atenas | 1 - 1 | Segunda División | November 11, 2017 |
Atenas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 26 | Away | Tacuarembo | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 27, 26 | Home | Plaza Colonia | Segunda División | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | La Luz | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Cerrito | Segunda División | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | CA River Plate | Segunda División | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Paysandu | Segunda División | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Miramar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 26 | Home | Paysandu | Segunda División | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 27, 26 | Away | Sportivo Huracan | Segunda División | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Uruguay Montevideo | Segunda División | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Oriental | Segunda División | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Colón | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Fenix | Segunda División | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atenas | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 29 | +6 | 44 |
| 12 | Miramar | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +12 | 45 |
| 2 | Oriental | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +7 | 45 |
| 3 | Atenas | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 4 | Colón | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 45 |
| 5 | Fenix | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 6 | Rentistas | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 42 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 41 |
| 8 | La Luz | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | CA River Plate | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Miramar | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 26 |
Predictions
Atenas to win
This prediction indicates that Atenas has a 44.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.62 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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