Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
L
D
L
W
W
W
New York City FC
L
D
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | Atlanta United FC | 4 - 0 | June 12, 2025 |
| Atlanta United FC | New York City FC | 4 - 3 | March 29, 2025 |
| Atlanta United FC | New York City FC | 2 - 2 | July 17, 2024 |
| New York City FC | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 1 | April 6, 2024 |
| Atlanta United FC | New York City FC | 2 - 2 | June 21, 2023 |
| New York City FC | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 1 | April 8, 2023 |
Atlanta United FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | Orlando City SC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Inter Miami | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Charlotte | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Sporting Kansas City | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Minnesota United FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | New York Red Bulls | 2 - 1 | Win |
New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Nashville SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | FC Cincinnati | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | New York City FC | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 31 | +5 | 29 |
| 28 | Atlanta United FC | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.18% likelihood that both Atlanta United FC and New York City FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Atlanta United FC or New York City FC to win
This prediction indicates that New York City FC has a 38.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.33 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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