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Primera Nacional

July 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Atlanta Almagro
Atlanta L L W W D W
Almagro W W W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Almagro Atlanta 2 - 0 June 20, 2026
Almagro Atlanta 0 - 0 August 17, 2025
Atlanta Almagro 1 - 0 April 15, 2025
Almagro Atlanta 0 - 0 September 7, 2024
Atlanta Almagro 3 - 0 April 20, 2024
Atlanta Almagro 1 - 1 May 7, 2022

Atlanta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Away Quilmes 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Almagro 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Midland 1 - 2 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 3 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 Win

Almagro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Win
Jun 20, 26 Home Atlanta 2 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Atlanta 19 10 3 6 24 15 +9 33
18 Almagro 19 7 4 8 16 19 -3 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Atlanta to win
This prediction indicates that Atlanta has a 45.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.69 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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