Primera División logo

Primera División
Atletico Grau logo Atletico Grau
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
FBC Melgar logo FBC Melgar

Match Analysis

Atletico Grau FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau W D L L W W
FBC Melgar L D W W D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FBC Melgar Atletico Grau 0 - 0 March 15, 2026
Atletico Grau FBC Melgar 0 - 0 October 5, 2025
FBC Melgar Atletico Grau 1 - 1 May 18, 2025
FBC Melgar Atletico Grau 0 - 0 September 24, 2024
Atletico Grau FBC Melgar 1 - 2 April 21, 2024
FBC Melgar Atletico Grau 3 - 0 July 7, 2023

Atletico Grau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home Comerciantes Unidos 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Juan Pablo II College 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Sport Boys 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Sport Huancayo 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home UTC 3 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Home UCV Moquegua 1 - 0 Win

FBC Melgar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home FC Cajamarca 2 - 4 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away UCV Moquegua 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Sporting Cristal 2 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Cienciano 1 - 3 Win
Jun 18, 26 Away LDU de Quito 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Away LDU de Quito 1 - 1 Draw

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 FBC Melgar 21 10 5 6 36 26 +10 35
17 Atletico Grau 21 5 5 11 15 22 -7 20

Predictions

FBC Melgar to win
This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 41.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.11 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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