Austin vs Charlotte Wednesday 15th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Austin Charlotte

Austin L L L D W W

Charlotte W W L D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Charlotte	Austin	3 - 1	March 8, 2026
Charlotte	Austin	1 - 0	February 12, 2025
Austin	Charlotte	2 - 2	July 21, 2024
Charlotte	Austin	0 - 1	June 30, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	St. Louis City	3 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Sporting Kansas City	1 - 2	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	San Diego	5 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Minnesota United FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	St. Louis City	2 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Houston Dynamo	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	New England Revolution	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Toronto FC	3 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	New York City FC	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	FC Cincinnati	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	New England Revolution	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Nashville SC	4 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
245	Austin	6	3	2	1	6	4	+2	11
403	Charlotte	4	3	0	1	6	3	+3	9

This prediction indicates that Charlotte has a 43.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.20 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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