Botev Plovdiv vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Wednesday 01st July 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Botev Plovdiv Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Botev Plovdiv W W W L W L

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas D L W W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Botev Plovdiv	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1 - 0	July 8, 2023

Botev Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Ballkani	2 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	2 - 1	Win
Jun 23, 26	Home	Spartak Pleven	4 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Cherno More Varna	5 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	1 - 2	Loss

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 8, 26	Away	Sevlievo	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 8, 25	Home	Cherno more II	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 5, 25	Away	Nesebar	0 - 3	Win
Feb 1, 25	Home	Rozova dolina	2 - 0	Win
Jan 22, 25	Home	Spartak Varna	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 18, 25	Home	CSKA 1948 Sofia II	3 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Botev Plovdiv	8	8	0	0	19	2	+17	24
1503	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has a 38.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.45 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs