Rilski Sportist vs Arda Kardzhali Wednesday 01st July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Rilski Sportist Arda Kardzhali

Rilski Sportist L

Arda Kardzhali L W W W L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 10, 24	Away	Marek	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 1	Loss
May 25, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Botev Plovdiv	1 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Cherno More Varna	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
225	Arda Kardzhali	6	3	2	1	10	6	+4	11
1629	Rilski Sportist	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.6% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Arda Kardzhali has a 47.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.22 %

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