Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Wednesday 01st July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Cherno More Varna W L L W W D

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa W L D W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cherno More Varna	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	0 - 1	January 28, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Away	Yantra 2019	0 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	2 - 3	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Botev Plovdiv	5 - 0	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Arda Kardzhali	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Dunav Ruse	1 - 2	Win
Feb 7, 26	Away	Yantra 2019	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Yantra 2019	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 28, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	0 - 1	Win
Jan 24, 26	Away	Ludogorets II	5 - 0	Loss
Jan 18, 25	Home	Ludogorets II	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
84	Cherno More Varna	7	5	0	2	13	3	+10	15
579	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	5	2	1	2	3	7	-4	7

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cherno More Varna has a 46.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.41 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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