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Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus L L D D L L
Gamba Osaka W W W L W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka 2 - 1 May 6, 2026
Gamba Osaka Nagoya Grampus 0 - 0 February 15, 2026
Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 October 25, 2025
Gamba Osaka Nagoya Grampus 2 - 0 April 12, 2025
Gamba Osaka Nagoya Grampus 3 - 2 October 23, 2024
Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 May 11, 2024

Nagoya Grampus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away Consadole Sapporo 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away FC Tokyo 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Machida Zelvia 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 - 2 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 6 - 1 Loss

Gamba Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Home Urawa 4 - 3 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away Kanazawa 0 - 6 Win
Jul 15, 26 Away Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 3 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Sparta Praha 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Tokyo Verdy 2 - 4 Win
May 30, 26 Home Tokyo Verdy 1 - 1 Draw

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gamba Osaka 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Nagoya Grampus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka to win
This prediction indicates that Gamba Osaka has a 39.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.83 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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