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Victoria NPL

Aug. 1, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Avondale Heidelberg United
Avondale L L L W W W
Heidelberg United D D L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Heidelberg United Avondale 2 - 1 April 24, 2026
Avondale Heidelberg United 2 - 1 August 2, 2025
Heidelberg United Avondale 3 - 1 April 25, 2025
Heidelberg United Avondale 1 - 1 June 28, 2024
Avondale Heidelberg United 0 - 0 March 23, 2024
Heidelberg United Avondale 1 - 1 July 15, 2023

Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Oakleigh Cannons 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Preston Lions 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Away Dandenong City 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 11 - 0 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away Green Gully 0 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 4 - 0 Win

Heidelberg United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Away Melbourne City II 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 3, 26 Home St. Albans Saints 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 26, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Home Preston Lions 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Away Dandenong City 4 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 4 - 2 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Avondale 20 11 1 8 53 27 +26 34
5 Heidelberg United 20 9 5 6 33 26 +7 32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.67% likelihood that both Avondale and Heidelberg United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Avondale to win
This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 60.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.70 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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