Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama Sunday 09th August 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Bahia Vasco DA Gama

Bahia D W L W W L

Vasco DA Gama D L L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vasco DA Gama	Bahia	0 - 1	February 12, 2026
Bahia	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 0	November 23, 2025
Vasco DA Gama	Bahia	3 - 1	September 24, 2025
Vasco DA Gama	Bahia	3 - 2	October 29, 2024
Bahia	Vasco DA Gama	2 - 1	June 27, 2024
Bahia	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 1	September 3, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	Atletico-MG	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Fluminense	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	4 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Botafogo	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Coritiba	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Independiente Medellin	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Away	Vitoria	1 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	0 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Barracas Central	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	0 - 3	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Olimpia	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Bahia	19	8	6	5	28	24	+4	30
17	Vasco DA Gama	19	5	5	9	22	30	-8	20

This prediction indicates that Bahia has a 54.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.76 %

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