VfL Wolfsburg vs Lyon Friday 24th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

VfL Wolfsburg Lyon

VfL Wolfsburg W D D W L D

Lyon W W W L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lyon	VfL Wolfsburg	4 - 1	July 17, 2021

VfL Wolfsburg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Schöningen	2 - 8	Win
May 25, 26	Away	SC Paderborn 07	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Home	SC Paderborn 07	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	FC St. Pauli	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Bayern München	0 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	SC Freiburg	1 - 1	Draw

Lyon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Servette FC	2 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	FC ST. Gallen	6 - 3	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Mâcon	5 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Lens	0 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Toulouse	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Rennes	4 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.72% likelihood that both VfL Wolfsburg and Lyon will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Lyon to win

This prediction indicates that Lyon has a 52.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.64 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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