Heracles vs Excelsior Friday 24th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Heracles Excelsior

Heracles W L L L L L

Excelsior W W D W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Heracles	Excelsior	1 - 1	March 20, 2026
Excelsior	Heracles	1 - 2	November 8, 2025
Heracles	Excelsior	1 - 2	July 25, 2025
Heracles	Excelsior	1 - 2	July 26, 2024
Excelsior	Heracles	4 - 0	May 12, 2024
Heracles	Excelsior	3 - 1	September 2, 2023

Heracles Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	Groningen	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Groningen	1 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Telstar	3 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	PEC Zwolle	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC Volendam	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Ajax	0 - 3	Loss

Excelsior Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Cambuur	3 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Sparta Rotterdam	2 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	FC Volendam	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Groningen	2 - 3	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Utrecht	5 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	PEC Zwolle	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.71% likelihood that both Heracles and Excelsior will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Excelsior to win

This prediction indicates that Excelsior has a 42.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.02 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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