Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle Friday 24th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Fleetwood Town Carlisle

Fleetwood Town D D D W L L

Carlisle D W W W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fleetwood Town	Carlisle	1 - 2	January 25, 2025
Carlisle	Fleetwood Town	2 - 3	September 14, 2024
Fleetwood Town	Carlisle	1 - 1	December 26, 2023
Carlisle	Fleetwood Town	1 - 1	August 5, 2023
Carlisle	Fleetwood Town	1 - 1	September 20, 2022
Carlisle	Fleetwood Town	1 - 3	September 1, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Milton Keynes Dons	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Shrewsbury	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Chesterfield	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Accrington ST	1 - 2	Win
Apr 6, 26	Home	Barnet	2 - 5	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 3, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Brackley Town	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Truro City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	3 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Morecambe	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Gateshead	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 37.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.00 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply