Serie A
Match Analysis
Botafogo
Gremio
Botafogo
L
L
W
L
L
D
Gremio
W
L
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | Botafogo | 5 - 3 | February 5, 2026 |
| Botafogo | Gremio | 3 - 2 | November 22, 2025 |
| Gremio | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | September 24, 2025 |
| Botafogo | Gremio | 0 - 0 | September 29, 2024 |
| Gremio | Botafogo | 1 - 2 | June 16, 2024 |
| Botafogo | Gremio | 3 - 4 | November 9, 2023 |
Botafogo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Flamengo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Atletico Paranaense | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Cienciano | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Vitoria | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Cienciano | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Gremio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Chapecoense-sc | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | RB Bragantino | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Atletico-MG | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Bolívar | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 28 |
Predictions
Botafogo to win
This prediction indicates that Botafogo has a 45.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.61 %Most Likely Scorelines
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